{"id":375166,"date":"2024-08-15T16:59:55","date_gmt":"2024-08-15T19:59:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogdofarnesio.com.br\/?p=375166"},"modified":"2024-08-15T16:59:55","modified_gmt":"2024-08-15T19:59:55","slug":"pesquisa-votos-validos-apontam-vitoria-de-simao-no-primeiro-turno-em-petrolina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogdofarnesio.com.br\/?p=375166","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa: Votos v\u00e1lidos apontam vit\u00f3ria de Sim\u00e3o no primeiro turno em Petrolina"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Se as elei\u00e7\u00f5es fossem hoje, em Petrolina, maior col\u00e9gio eleitoral do Sert\u00e3o, a 712 km do Recife, o prefeito Sim\u00e3o Durando (UB) seria eleito no primeiro turno. Na pesquisa do Instituto Opini\u00e3o, em parceria com o blogdomagno, quando se colocam todos os candidatos, ele aparece na frente com 40,8% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, o ex-prefeito J\u00falio L\u00f3ssio (PSDB) vem em seguida, com 24,4%, e Odacy Amorim (PT) pontua 9%. Lara Cavalcanti (PL) tem 3%, Marcos Ortopedista (Psol) 2,6% e, por fim, Maria Clara (UP) 1,4%. Brancos e nulos somam 4% e indecisos chegam a 14,8%.<\/p>\n

Considerando-se apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, Sim\u00e3o chega a 50,2%, L\u00f3ssio a 30%, Odacy a 11,1%, Lara 3,7%, Marcos Ortopedista 3,2% e Maria Clara 1,7%. No levantamento espont\u00e2neo, modelo pelo qual o entrevistado \u00e9 for\u00e7ado a lembrar o nome do seu postulante preferido sem o aux\u00edlio da lista, Sim\u00e3o tamb\u00e9m lidera com 27,2%, L\u00f3ssio aparece com 12%, Odacy com 3,8%, Lara 2,2%, Marcos Ortopedista 1,2% e Maria Clara 1%. Neste cen\u00e1rio, brancos e nulos somam 4% e indecisos sobem para 46,8%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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No quesito rejei\u00e7\u00e3o, o l\u00edder \u00e9 o petista Odacy Amorim. Entre os entrevistados, 19,2% disseram que n\u00e3o votariam nele de jeito nenhum, seguido de L\u00f3ssio, com 16,4%. Maria Clara vem em seguida, com 10,6% dos eleitores que disseram que n\u00e3o votariam nela de jeito nenhum, seguida de Lara, que aparece com 7,8%. Sim\u00e3o aparece em seguida, com 7,4%, e o menos rejeitado \u00e9 Marcos Ortopedista, com 6,2%.<\/p>\n

Estratificando o levantamento, os maiores indicadores de voto para o prefeito aparecem entre os eleitores com renda familiar com mais de cinco sal\u00e1rios (57,8%), entre os eleitores com grau de instru\u00e7\u00e3o superior (56,3%) e entre os eleitores entre 35 e 44 anos (43,6%). Por sexo, 42% dos seus eleitores s\u00e3o homens e 39,8% s\u00e3o mulheres.<\/p>\n

J\u00e1 L\u00f3ssio aparece mais bem situado entre os eleitores com grau de instru\u00e7\u00e3o at\u00e9 a 9\u00aa s\u00e9rie (33,1), nos eleitores entre 25 e 34 anos (25%), e com renda familiar at\u00e9 dois sal\u00e1rios m\u00ednimos (31,3%). Por sexo, 27,5% dos eleitores do ex-prefeito s\u00e3o mulheres, enquanto 20,8% s\u00e3o homens.<\/p>\n

Odacy Amorim pontua melhor entre os eleitores com 60 anos ou mais (13,3%), entre os que t\u00eam grau de instru\u00e7\u00e3o at\u00e9 o 9\u00ba ano (13,7%) e com renda familiar de at\u00e9 dois sal\u00e1rios m\u00ednimos (11,5%). Por sexo, 9,5% dos eleitores que preferem o petista s\u00e3o homens e 8,6% s\u00e3o mulheres.<\/p>\n

A pesquisa foi realizada nos dias 6, 7 e 8 de agosto, sendo aplicados 500 question\u00e1rios. O intervalo de confian\u00e7a estimado \u00e9 de 95,0% e a margem de erro m\u00e1xima estimada \u00e9 de 4,4 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos sobre os resultados encontrados no total da amostra.<\/p>\n

A modalidade de pesquisa adotada envolveu a t\u00e9cnica de Survey, que consiste na aplica\u00e7\u00e3o de question\u00e1rios estruturados e padronizados a uma amostra representativa do universo de investiga\u00e7\u00e3o. Foram realizadas entrevistas pessoais (face a face) e domiciliares. A pesquisa est\u00e1 registrada sob o protocolo PE-00789\/2024.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Se as elei\u00e7\u00f5es fossem hoje, em Petrolina, maior col\u00e9gio eleitoral do Sert\u00e3o, a 712 km do Recife, o prefeito Sim\u00e3o Durando (UB) seria eleito no primeiro turno. Na pesquisa do Instituto Opini\u00e3o, em parceria com o blogdomagno, quando se colocam todos os candidatos, ele aparece na frente com 40,8% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, o ex-prefeito J\u00falio L\u00f3ssio (PSDB) vem em seguida, com 24,4%, e Odacy Amorim (PT) pontua 9%. Lara Cavalcanti (PL) tem 3%, Marcos Ortopedista (Psol) 2,6% e, por fim, Maria Clara (UP) 1,4%. Brancos e nulos somam 4% e indecisos chegam a 14,8%. Considerando-se apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, Sim\u00e3o chega a 50,2%, L\u00f3ssio a 30%, Odacy a 11,1%, Lara 3,7%, Marcos Ortopedista 3,2% e Maria Clara 1,7%. No… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":375167,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-375166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pesquisa"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPesquisa: Votos v\u00e1lidos apontam vit\u00f3ria de Sim\u00e3o no primeiro turno em Petrolina - Blog do Farn\u00e9sio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogdofarnesio.com.br\/?p=375166\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pesquisa: Votos v\u00e1lidos apontam vit\u00f3ria de Sim\u00e3o no primeiro turno em Petrolina - Blog do Farn\u00e9sio\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Se as elei\u00e7\u00f5es fossem hoje, em Petrolina, maior col\u00e9gio eleitoral do Sert\u00e3o, a 712 km do Recife, o prefeito Sim\u00e3o Durando (UB) seria eleito no primeiro turno. 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Na pesquisa do Instituto Opini\u00e3o, em parceria com o blogdomagno, quando se colocam todos os candidatos, ele aparece na frente com 40,8% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, o ex-prefeito J\u00falio L\u00f3ssio (PSDB) vem em seguida, com 24,4%, e Odacy Amorim (PT) pontua 9%. Lara Cavalcanti (PL) tem 3%, Marcos Ortopedista (Psol) 2,6% e, por fim, Maria Clara (UP) 1,4%. Brancos e nulos somam 4% e indecisos chegam a 14,8%. Considerando-se apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, Sim\u00e3o chega a 50,2%, L\u00f3ssio a 30%, Odacy a 11,1%, Lara 3,7%, Marcos Ortopedista 3,2% e Maria Clara 1,7%. 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